事业 · 创业者自述
约翰·D·洛克菲勒：洛克菲勒回忆录·补录 162
约翰·D·洛克菲勒《洛克菲勒回忆录》· Random Reminiscences of Men and Events · 领导
The building of the pipe-lines introduced another formidable competitor to the railroads, but as oil could be transported by pumping through pipes at a much less cost than by hauling in tank-cars in a railroad train the development of the pipe-line was inevitable. The question was simply whether the oil traffic was sufficient in volume to make the investment profitable. When pipe-lines had been built to oil fields where the wells had ceased to yield, as often happened, they were about the most useless property imaginable.
出处：
https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/17090
定位：Additional excerpt 162 · 核对日期：2026-10-19 · 核验：短摘录
白话
输油管道的建设给铁路带来了另一个强大的竞争对手。由于用泵通过管道输送石油的成本远低于用铁路罐车运输，管道的发展是不可避免的。问题只在于石油运输量是否足够大，使投资有利可图。当管道铺到油井已经停止产油的油田时——这种情况经常发生——它们就成了最无用的财产。
上下文
洛克菲勒在回忆录中讲述标准石油公司发展管道运输的背景，当时管道与铁路竞争激烈。
今日一问
在评估一项新技术投资时，你是否既看到了成本优势，又充分考虑了需求风险？
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