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霍华德·马克斯:风险·第13则

霍华德·马克斯《《风险》》· Risk · 投资 · 财富 · 决策 · 领导

What does it mean to intelligently bear risk for profit? I’ll provide an example. In the early 1980s, a reporter asked me, “How can you invest in high yield bonds when you know some of the issuers will go bankrupt?” Somehow, the perfect answer came to me in a flash: “The most conservative companies in America are the life insurance companies. How can they insure people’s lives when they know they’re all going to die?” Both activities involve conscious risk bearing. Both can be done intelligently (or not). The ability to profit from them consistently depends on the approach employed and whether it’s done skillfully. For companies selling life insurance, I said, the keys to survival and profitability are the following: It’s risk they’re aware of. They know everyone’s going to die.

出处: https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2006-01-19-risk.pdf
定位:Memo, excerpt 13 · 核对日期:2026-10-19 · 核验:短摘录

白话

明智地承担风险以获取利润是什么意思?我举个例子。20世纪80年代初,有记者问我:“明知有些发行人会破产,你怎么能投资高收益债券?”我灵光一闪,给出了完美回答:“美国最保守的公司是寿险公司。明知人终有一死,他们怎么能给人承保寿险?”两者都涉及有意识地承担风险,都可以做得明智(或不明智)。持续盈利的能力取决于所采用的方法以及是否熟练。对于销售寿险的公司,我说,生存和盈利的关键是:风险是他们意识到的,他们知道每个人都会死。

上下文

霍华德·马克斯在《风险》一文中回忆1980年代初与记者的对话,用寿险类比高收益债券投资。

今日一问

你如何确保自己承担的风险是经过深思熟虑的?

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