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查理·芒格:芒格 1994 年南加大演讲·补录 38

查理·芒格《《关于基本世俗智慧的演讲》》· USC Business School, 1994 · 健康 · 哲学 · 领导 · 人性

But such is the nature of people who have a hammer—to whom, as I mentioned, every problem looks like a nail that the Ben Graham followers responded by changing the calibration on their Geiger counters. In effect, they started defining a bargain in a different way. And they kept changing the definition so that they could keep doing what they'd always done. And it still worked pretty well. So the Ben Graham intellectual system was a very good one.

出处: https://web.archive.org/web/20140625062802/http://ycombinator.com/munger.html
定位:Archived transcript, additional excerpt 38 · 核对日期:2026-10-19 · 核验:短摘录

白话

本·格雷厄姆的信徒们就像拿着锤子的人,看什么都是钉子。当市场变化后,他们不是放弃方法,而是调整“盖革计数器”的刻度,重新定义什么算便宜货,以便继续做他们习惯的事。结果这套方法还挺管用。核心是:人们会调整标准来维护自己熟悉的做法,这既是偏见,也可能有效。做法上,要意识到自己可能在自欺,但也要承认适应性的价值。背后的取舍是:坚持原则与灵活变通之间需要平衡。

上下文

芒格评论格雷厄姆价值投资追随者如何应对市场变化,强调思维模型的影响。

今日一问

你是否有过为了继续做熟悉的事,而悄悄降低或改变标准的时候?

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