I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many others that enjoy good economic characteristics, and a few that are…
I should have mentioned before, that, in the autumn of the preceding year, I had form'd most of my ingenious acquaintance into a club of mutual improvement, which we called the Junto; we met on Friday evenings. The…
I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many others that enjoy good economic characteristics, and a few that are…
I should have mentioned before, that, in the autumn of the preceding year, I had form'd most of my ingenious acquaintance into a club of mutual improvement, which we called the Junto; we met on Friday evenings. The…
Warren Buffett《Berkshire Hathaway 2006 Letter to Shareholders》· 2006 Chairman's Letter · Investing
Over the years, however, we have focused more and more on the acquisition of operating businesses. Using our funds for these purchases has both slowed our growth in investments and accelerated our gains in pre-tax earnings from non-insurance businesses, the second yardstick we use. Here’s how those earnings have looked:
I should have mentioned before, that, in the autumn of the preceding year, I had form'd most of my ingenious acquaintance into a club of mutual improvement, which we called the Junto; we met on Friday evenings. The…
I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many others that enjoy good economic characteristics, and a few that are…
21:00 Figures · Investing · Modern investor letters
Charlie Munger:Multiple Models and the Hammer
Charlie Munger《A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business》· The models: multiple models · Cognition · Decision · Learning
What are the models? Well, the first rule is that you've got to have multiple models—because if you just have one or two that you're using, the nature of human psychology is such that you'll torture reality so that it fits your models, or at least you'll think it does.
Using only one or two models makes you distort reality to fit them.
Context
In his 1994 USC talk, Munger made multiple mental models the first lesson of worldly wisdom. He warned that people with only one or two models unconsciously distort reality to fit them. Multiple models are a safeguard against self-deception, not intellectual decoration.
Today's question
Which model do you rely on most—and when did it last make you misread reality?
I should have mentioned before, that, in the autumn of the preceding year, I had form'd most of my ingenious acquaintance into a club of mutual improvement, which we called the Junto; we met on Friday evenings. The…