Investing · Modern investor letters

Charlie Munger:Munger's 1994 USC Talk, Additional Excerpt 23

Charlie Munger《A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business》· USC Business School, 1994 · Wealth · Investing · Action · Leadership

In all cases, the people who sell the machinery—and, by and large, even the internal bureaucrats urging you to buy the equipment—show you projections with the amount you'll save at current prices with the new technology. However, they don't do the second step of the analysis which is to determine how much is going stay home and how much is just going to flow through to the customer. I've never seen a single projection incorporating that second step in my life. And I see them all the time. Rather, they always read: "This capital outlay will save you so much money that it will pay for itself in three years."

Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20140625062802/http://ycombinator.com/munger.html
Locator:Archived transcript, additional excerpt 23 · Verified:2026-10-19 · Verification:Short excerpt

Today's question

Does this passage change one judgment about money or risk today?

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