事业 · 创业者自述
约翰·D·洛克菲勒：洛克菲勒回忆录·补录 166
约翰·D·洛克菲勒《洛克菲勒回忆录》· Random Reminiscences of Men and Events · 领导
These interests had included a good many different industries, mines, steel mills, paper mills, a nail factory, railroads, lumber fields, smelting properties, and other investments about which I have now forgotten. I was a minority stockholder in all these enterprises, and had no part in their management. Not all of them were profitable. As a matter of fact, for a period of years just preceding the panic of 1893, values were more or less inflated, and many people who thought they were wealthy found that the actual facts were quite different from what they had imagined when the hard experiences of that panic forced upon them the unpalatable truth.
出处：
https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/17090
定位：Additional excerpt 166 · 核对日期：2026-10-19 · 核验：短摘录
白话
这些投资涉及许多不同的行业：矿山、钢厂、造纸厂、钉子厂、铁路、林场、冶炼厂以及其他我已忘记的投资。在所有这些企业中，我都是少数股东，不参与管理。并非所有企业都盈利。事实上，在1893年恐慌之前的几年里，价值或多或少被夸大了，许多自认为富有的人发现，当恐慌的艰难经历迫使他们接受令人不快的真相时，实际情况与他们想象的截然不同。
上下文
洛克菲勒回顾自己在1893年经济恐慌前的多元化投资经历，反思过度自信和依赖他人判断的风险。
今日一问
在投资中，你是否曾因过度自信或依赖他人而忽视实际风险？如何避免重蹈覆辙？
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