事业 · 创业者自述
奥里森·斯威特·马登：向前进·摘录 26
奥里森·斯威特·马登《向前进》· Pushing to the Front · 领导
Young Philip Armour joined the long caravan of Forty-Niners, and crossed the "Great American Desert" with all his possessions in a prairie schooner drawn by mules. Hard work and steady gains carefully saved in the mines enabled him to start, six years later, in the grain and warehouse business in Milwaukee. In nine years he made five hundred thousand dollars. But he saw his great opportunity in Grant's order, "On to Richmond." One morning in 1864 he knocked at the door of Plankinton, partner in his venture as a pork packer. "I am going to take the next train to New York," said he, "to sell pork 'short.' Grant and Sherman have the rebellion by the throat, and pork will go down to twelve dollars a barrel." This was his opportunity. He went to New York and offered pork in large quantities at forty dollars per barrel. It was eagerly taken. The shrewd Wall Street speculators laughed at the young Westerner, and told him pork would go to sixty dollars, for the war was not nearly over. Mr. Armour, however, kept on selling, Grant continued to advance. Richmond fell, pork fell with it to twelve dollars a barrel, and Mr. Armour cleared two millions of dollars.
出处：
https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/21291
定位：Excerpt 26 · 核对日期：2026-10-19 · 核验：短摘录
白话
年轻的阿穆尔加入淘金队伍，赶着骡车穿越“美国大沙漠”。在矿上辛苦干活、攒下钱，六年后在密尔沃基做粮食和仓储生意，九年赚了五十万美元。但他真正的大机会来自格兰特将军“向里士满进军”的命令。1864年一天早上，他敲开合伙人普兰金顿的门说：我要坐下一班火车去纽约卖空猪肉，格兰特和谢尔曼已经掐住叛军的脖子，猪肉会跌到十二美元一桶。他到纽约以四十美元大量卖出，华尔街投机客还笑他，说战争远没结束、肉价要涨到六十。结果里士满陷落，肉价跌到十二，他净赚两百万。
上下文
菲利普·阿穆尔是美国肉类加工巨头，故事发生在1864年美国南北战争末期。
今日一问
你判断趋势时，是跟着大众的情绪，还是像阿穆尔那样盯住真正决定结果的事实？
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