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托马斯·马尔萨斯:人口论·摘录 94

托马斯·马尔萨斯《人口论》· An Essay on the Principle of Population · 投资

If this be the case, there is at once an end of all human science. The whole train of reasonings from effects to causes will be destroyed. We may shut our eyes to the book of nature, as it will no longer be of any use to read it. The wildest and most improbable conjectures may be advanced with as much certainty as the most just and sublime theories, founded on careful and reiterated experiments. We may return again to the old mode of philosophising and make facts bend to systems, instead of establishing systems upon facts. The grand and consistent theory of Newton will be placed upon the same footing as the wild and eccentric hypotheses of Descartes. In short, if the laws of nature are thus fickle and inconstant, if it can be affirmed and be believed that they will change, when for ages and ages they have appeared immutable, the human mind will no longer have any incitements to inquiry, but must remain fixed in inactive torpor, or amuse itself only in bewildering dreams and extravagant fancies.

出处: https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/4239
定位:Excerpt 94 · 核对日期:2026-10-19 · 核验:短摘录

白话

如果真是这样,人类一切科学就完了。从结果到原因的全部推理都会被摧毁。我们可以闭上眼不看自然之书,因为读它也没用了。最荒诞离奇的猜想可以像基于反复实验的严谨理论一样确定。我们可能回到让事实迁就体系的旧哲学,而不是根据事实建立体系。牛顿的伟大理论会和笛卡尔的狂想 hypothesis 相提并论。总之,如果自然规律如此多变,人们便不再有探究的动力,只会陷入麻木或沉溺于幻想。

上下文

马尔萨斯论证自然规律的恒常性是科学知识的基础,若规律可变则科学崩溃。

今日一问

如果自然规律可以随意改变,科学探究还有意义吗?

公版作品;原文逐字取自 Project Gutenberg,仅摘录段落并附全书链接。

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