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霍华德·马克斯:再谈风险·第10则
霍华德·马克斯《《再谈风险》》· Risk Revisited Again · 投资 · 决策 · 财富 · 认知
I touched above on concentration risk, but we should also think about the flip side: the risk of overdiversification. If you have just a few holdings in a portfolio, or if an institution employs just a few managers, one bad decision can do significant damage to results. But if you have a very large number of holdings or managers, no one of them can have much of a positive impact on performance. Nobody invests in just the one stock or manager they expect to perform best, but as the number of positions is expanded, the standards for inclusion may decline. Peter Lynch coined the term “diworstification” to describe the process through which lesser investments are added to portfolios, making the potential riskadjusted return worse.
出处:
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2015-06-08-risk-revisited-again.pdf
定位:Memo, excerpt 10 · 核对日期:2026-10-19 · 核验:短摘录
白话
集中有集中的风险,但反过来也要防过度分散。组合里只放几只股票,或机构只雇几个管理人,一次错误决策就可能重创业绩;可如果持仓或管理人数量太多,任何单个都很难对业绩产生明显正面影响。没人会只挑自己最看好的那一只,但随着仓位越加越多,入选标准往往会悄悄降低。彼得·林奇造了个词叫“劣分散”,说的就是这种把次等标的塞进组合、反而拉低风险调整后收益的过程。
上下文
霍华德·马克斯在《再谈风险》中讨论集中与分散的取舍,引用了彼得·林奇的说法。
今日一问
你现在的持仓数量,是在提升分散,还是在稀释标准?
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