Investing · Modern investor letters

Howard Marks:You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare., Excerpt 10

Howard Marks《You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare.》· You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare. · Investing · Growth

At the University of Chicago, I was taught that the value of an asset is the discounted present value of its future cash flows. If this is true, we should expect the prices of assets to change in line with changes in the outlook for their cash flows. But we know that asset prices often rise and fall without regard for cash flows, and certainly by amounts that are entirely disproportionate to the changes in cash flows.

Source: https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2001-11-20-you-cant-predict-you-can-prepare.pdf
Locator:Memo, excerpt 10 · Verified:2026-10-19 · Verification:Short excerpt

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