事业 · 创业者自述
安德鲁·卡内基：安德鲁·卡内基自传·补录 567
安德鲁·卡内基《安德鲁·卡内基自传》· Autobiography of Andrew Carnegie · 领导
It was urged that if we did not occupy the Philippines, Germany would. It never occurred to the urgers that this would mean Britain agreeing that Germany should establish a naval base at Macao, a short sail from Britain's naval base in the East. Britain would as soon permit her to establish a base at Kingston, Ireland, eighty miles from Liverpool. I was surprised to hear men--men like Judge Taft, although he was opposed at first to the annexation--give this reason when we were discussing the question after the fatal step had been taken. But we know little of foreign relations. We have hitherto been a consolidated country. It will be a sad day if we ever become anything otherwise.
出处：
https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/17976
定位：Additional excerpt 567 · 核对日期：2026-10-19 · 核验：短摘录
白话
当时有人主张：如果美国不占领菲律宾，德国就会占领。卡内基反驳说，这种说法没想过英国绝不会同意——那等于让德国在澳门设海军基地，离英国在远东的基地太近了，英国宁可让德国在爱尔兰金斯敦设基地。他惊讶的是，像塔夫脱这样的人物在既成事实后也拿这个理由说事。卡内基的意思是：用“别人会占”来为扩张辩护，往往经不起地缘政治的现实推敲。可执行的做法是：听到“不这样做别人就会做”时，先追问对方真有能力做吗、其他相关方会坐视吗。
上下文
卡内基自传中回忆美西战争后关于是否吞并菲律宾的辩论，当时流行“德国威胁论”。
今日一问
你最近听到的“不这么做就会被别人抢走”的理由，经得起事实推敲吗？
公版传记；原文逐字取自 Project Gutenberg，仅摘录段落并附全书链接。
你的邮箱
只用于发送原典。不发广告，不卖名单。
本文本为公版；底本与原文链接见上。 版权