投资 · 西方古典
托马斯·马尔萨斯：人口论·摘录 160
托马斯·马尔萨斯《人口论》· An Essay on the Principle of Population · 投资
It is difficult, however, to conceive that the population of England has been declining since the Revolution, though every testimony concurs to prove that its increase, if it has increased, has been very slow. In the controversy which the question has occasioned, Dr Price undoubtedly appears to be much more completely master of his subject, and to possess more accurate information, than his opponents. Judging simply from this controversy, I think one should say that Dr Price's point is nearer being proved than Mr Howlett's. Truth, probably, lies between the two statements, but this supposition makes the increase of population since the Revolution to have been very slow in comparison with the increase of wealth.
出处：
https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/4239
定位：Excerpt 160 · 核对日期：2026-10-19 · 核验：短摘录
白话
马尔萨斯认为英国人口自革命以来不太可能减少，但增长非常缓慢。在普赖斯与豪利特的争论中，普赖斯对材料掌握更充分、信息更准确，其观点更接近被证明。真相可能在两者之间，但即便如此，人口增长相对于财富增长仍非常缓慢。核心是：人口增长滞后于财富增长，说明有效基金增长有限。
上下文
马尔萨斯评述普赖斯与豪利特关于英国人口变化的争论，倾向于普赖斯但认为真相在两者之间。
今日一问
当专家争论数据时，我们如何判断哪一方更接近真相？
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