Investing · Modern investor letters
Howard Marks:You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare., Excerpt 8
Howard Marks《You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare.》· You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare. · Investing · Growth · Action · Wealth
The exigencies of the corporate life cycle usually render ultra-high growth rates unsustainable. Regardless of the improbability, however, investors indulge in "the willing suspension of disbelief" (which I always bring to the movies but check at the door when I come to work). They assume that successful companies will be able to attract enough talent, develop enough new products, access enough new markets, fend off competition while protecting high profit margins, and correctly make the strategic adaptations needed to keep growing . . . but it rarely works that way.
Source:
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2001-11-20-you-cant-predict-you-can-prepare.pdf
Locator:Memo, excerpt 8 · Verified:2026-10-19 · Verification:Short excerpt
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