Three boards

Investing

Wealth, risk, cycles, and decisions.

1324 passages

Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2013 年致股东信》· 2013 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2013 Letter, Excerpt 4
Over the stock market cycle between yearends 2007 and 2013, we overperformed the S&P. Through full cycles in future years, we expect to do that again…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2014 年致股东信》· 2014 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2014 Letter, Excerpt 1
During our tenure, we have consistently compared the yearly performance of the S&P 500 to the change in Berkshire’s per-share book value. We’ve…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2014 年致股东信》· 2014 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2014 Letter, Excerpt 2
Today, our emphasis has shifted in a major way to owning and operating large businesses. Many of these are worth far more than their cost-based…
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Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2014 年致股东信》· 2014 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2014 Letter, Excerpt 3
With that in mind, we have added a new set of data – the historical record of Berkshire’s stock price – to the performance table on the facing page.…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2014 年致股东信》· 2014 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2014 Letter, Excerpt 4
It was a good year for Berkshire on all major fronts, except one. Here are the important developments: ‹ Our “Powerhouse Five” – a collection of…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2015 年致股东信》· 2015 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2015 Letter, Excerpt 1
By the early 1990s, however, our focus had changed to the outright ownership of businesses, a shift that diminished the relevance of balance-sheet…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2015 年致股东信》· 2015 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2015 Letter, Excerpt 2
Over time, this asymmetrical accounting treatment (with which we agree) necessarily widens the gap between intrinsic value and book value. Today, the…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2015 年致股东信》· 2015 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2015 Letter, Excerpt 3
The unrecorded increase in the value of our owned businesses explains why Berkshire’s aggregate market- value gain – tabulated on the facing page –…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2015 年致股东信》· 2015 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2015 Letter, Excerpt 4
Charlie Munger, Berkshire Vice Chairman and my partner, and I expect Berkshire’s normalized earning power to increase every year. (Actual…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2016 年致股东信》· 2016 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2016 Letter, Excerpt 1
By the early 1990s, however, our focus was changing to the outright ownership of businesses, a shift that materially diminished the relevance of…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2016 年致股东信》· 2016 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2016 Letter, Excerpt 2
We’ve experienced both outcomes: As is the case in marriage, business acquisitions often deliver surprises after the “I do’s.” I’ve made some dumb…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2016 年致股东信》· 2016 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2016 Letter, Excerpt 3
We have no quarrel with the asymmetrical accounting that applies here. But, over time, it necessarily widens the gap between Berkshire’s intrinsic…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2016 年致股东信》· 2016 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2016 Letter, Excerpt 4
Over time, stock prices gravitate toward intrinsic value. That’s what has happened at Berkshire, a fact explaining why the company’s 52-year…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2017 年致股东信》· 2017 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2017 Letter, Excerpt 1
Despite its recent acquisitions, HomeServices is on track to do only about 3% of the country’s home- brokerage business in 2018. That leaves 97% to…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2017 年致股东信》· 2017 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2017 Letter, Excerpt 2
We believe that the annual probability of a U.S. mega-catastrophe causing $400 billion or more of insured losses is about 2%. No one, of course,…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2017 年致股东信》· 2017 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2017 Letter, Excerpt 3
No company comes close to Berkshire in being financially prepared for a $400 billion mega-cat. Our share of such a loss might be $12 billion or so,…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2017 年致股东信》· 2017 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2017 Letter, Excerpt 4
Viewed as a group – and excluding investment income – our operations other than insurance delivered pre- tax income of $20 billion in 2017, an…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2018 年致股东信》· 2018 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2018 Letter, Excerpt 1
Berkshire earned $4.0 billion in 2018 utilizing generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The components of that figure are…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2018 年致股东信》· 2018 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2018 Letter, Excerpt 2
The accuracy of that prediction can be suggested by our quarterly results during 2018. In the first and fourth quarters, we reported GAAP losses of $…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2018 年致股东信》· 2018 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2018 Letter, Excerpt 3
Wide swings in our quarterly GAAP earnings will inevitably continue. That’s because our huge equity portfolio – valued at nearly $173 billion at…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2018 年致股东信》· 2018 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2018 Letter, Excerpt 4
Our advice? Focus on operating earnings, paying little attention to gains or losses of any variety. My saying that in no way diminishes the…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2019 年致股东信》· 2019 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2019 Letter, Excerpt 1
Berkshire earned $81.4 billion in 2019 according to generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The components of that…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2019 年致股东信》· 2019 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2019 Letter, Excerpt 2
The adoption of the rule by the accounting profession, in fact, was a monumental shift in its own thinking. Before 2018, GAAP insisted – with an…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2019 年致股东信》· 2019 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2019 Letter, Excerpt 3
Berkshire’s 2018 and 2019 years glaringly illustrate the argument we have with the new rule. In 2018, a down year for the stock market, our net…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2019 年致股东信》· 2019 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2019 Letter, Excerpt 4
Meanwhile, in what we might call the real world, as opposed to accounting-land, Berkshire’s equity holdings averaged about $200 billion during the…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2020 年致股东信》· 2020 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2020 Letter, Excerpt 1
Berkshire earned $42.5 billion in 2020 according to generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The four components of that…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2020 年致股东信》· 2020 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2020 Letter, Excerpt 2
Operating earnings are what count most, even during periods when they are not the largest item in our GAAP total. Our focus at Berkshire is both to…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2020 年致股东信》· 2020 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2020 Letter, Excerpt 3
The two GAAP components pertaining to capital gains or losses (whether realized or unrealized) fluctuate capriciously from year to year, reflecting…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2020 年致股东信》· 2020 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2020 Letter, Excerpt 4
As I’ve emphasized many times, Charlie and I view Berkshire’s holdings of marketable stocks – at yearend worth $281 billion – as a collection of…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2021 年致股东信》· 2021 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2021 Letter, Excerpt 1
Berkshire owns a wide variety of businesses, some in their entirety, some only in part. The second group largely consists of marketable common stocks…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2021 年致股东信》· 2021 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2021 Letter, Excerpt 2
Whatever our form of ownership, our goal is to have meaningful investments in businesses with both durable economic advantages and a first-class CEO.…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2021 年致股东信》· 2021 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2021 Letter, Excerpt 3
I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2021 年致股东信》· 2021 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2021 Letter, Excerpt 4
Early in 1965, things changed. Berkshire installed new management that redeployed available cash and steered essentially all earnings into a…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2022 年致股东信》· 2022 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2022 Letter, Excerpt 1
Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2022 年致股东信》· 2022 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2022 Letter, Excerpt 2
Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2022 年致股东信》· 2022 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2022 Letter, Excerpt 3
One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2022 年致股东信》· 2022 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2022 Letter, Excerpt 4
Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2023 年致股东信》· 2023 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2023 Letter, Excerpt 1
In what I next relate, bear in mind that Charlie and his family did not have a dime invested in the small investing partnership that I was then…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2023 年致股东信》· 2023 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2023 Letter, Excerpt 2
Nevertheless, Charlie, in 1965, promptly advised me: “Warren, forget about ever buying another company like Berkshire. But now that you control…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2023 年致股东信》· 2023 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2023 Letter, Excerpt 3
************ Writers find it useful to picture the reader they seek, and often they are hoping to attract a mass audience. At Berkshire, we have a…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2023 年致股东信》· 2023 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2023 Letter, Excerpt 4
We, however, are left uncomfortable. At Berkshire, our view is that “earnings” should be a sensible concept that Bertie will find somewhat useful –…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2024 年致股东信》· 2024 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2024 Letter, Excerpt 1
Sometimes I’ve made mistakes in assessing the future economics of a business I’ve purchased for Berkshire – each a case of capital allocation gone…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2024 年致股东信》· 2024 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2024 Letter, Excerpt 2
Pete paused as his wife, daughter and I leaned forward. Then he surprised us: “Well, I looked at Berkshire’s proxy statement and I wouldn’t want to…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2024 年致股东信》· 2024 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2024 Letter, Excerpt 3
The four of us then went to dinner at Omaha’s Happy Hollow Club and lived happily ever after. During the next 19 years, Pete shot the lights out.…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 沃伦·巴菲特《伯克希尔·哈撒韦 2024 年致股东信》· 2024 Chairman's Letter
Berkshire 2024 Letter, Excerpt 4
But I’ve also had many pleasant surprises in both the potential of the business as well as the ability and fidelity of the manager. And our…
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Investing · Modern investor letters
Investing · 查理·芒格《《关于基本世俗智慧的演讲》》· Opening section, “What is elementary, worldly wisdom?”
The Latticework of Mental Models
What is elementary, worldly wisdom? Well, the first rule is that you can't really know anything if you just remember isolated facts and try and bang…
Isolated facts become usable only when arranged on a latticework of theory.
Cognition · Learning · Decision · Modern investor letters
Investing · 查理·芒格《《关于基本世俗智慧的演讲》》· Section on high technology and the circle of competence
The Edge of Competence
And Warren and I don't feel like we have any great advantage in the high-tech sector. In fact, we feel like we're at a big disadvantage in trying…
Berkshire avoids high tech out of an honest assessment of its competence, not disdain.
Investing · Decision · Character · Modern investor letters
Investing · 本杰明·格雷厄姆《《聪明的投资者》》· Chapter 20, “Margin of Safety as the Central Concept of Investment”
Margin of Safety
Confronted with a like challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, MARGIN OF SAFETY.
Graham reduces sound investing to three words: margin of safety.
Investing · Decision · Wealth · Modern investor letters
Investing · 本杰明·格雷厄姆《《证券分析》》· Chapter XXXIX, “Price-Earnings Ratios for Common Stocks. Adjustments for Changes in Capitalization”
Voting Machine and Weighing Machine
The stock market is a voting machine rather than a weighing machine. It responds to factual data not directly but only as they affect the decisions…
Prices reflect human reactions, not precise mechanical valuations.
Investing · Cognition · Human nature · Modern investor letters
Investing · 约翰·D·洛克菲勒《《随机回忆录:人与事件》》· Chapter I, “The Value of Friendships”
Preparing for Financial Emergencies
We were accustomed to prepare for financial emergencies long before we needed the funds.
Secure liquidity before a crisis, not during one.
Wealth · Decision · Action · Entrepreneur memoirs
Investing · 安德鲁·卡内基《《安德鲁·卡内基自传》》· Chapter XII, “Business Negotiations”
Put All Good Eggs in One Basket
I determined that the proper policy was "to put all good eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
Concentrate on one industry and watch the basket closely.
Investing · Growth · Decision · Entrepreneur memoirs
Investing · 杰夫·贝索斯《《1997年致股东信》》· “It's All About the Long Term”
Long-Term Market Leadership
We will continue to make investment decisions in light of long-term market leadership considerations rather than short-term profitability…
Choose long-term market leadership over short-term profit and Wall Street reactions.
Investing · Leadership · Decision · Modern investor letters
Investing · 黄峥《《拼多多2018年致股东信》》· “Looking ahead”
Two Faces of Long-Termism
拼多多将是个勇于投资未来,立足长远的公司。
Pinduoduo will invest for the long term even when that looks aggressive or conservative.
Investing · Growth · Decision · Entrepreneur memoirs
Investing · 查理·芒格《《关于基本世俗智慧的演讲》》· The models: multiple models
Multiple Models and the Hammer
What are the models? Well, the first rule is that you've got to have multiple models—because if you just have one or two that you're using, the…
Using only one or two models makes you distort reality to fit them.
Cognition · Decision · Learning · Modern investor letters
Investing · 查理·芒格《《关于基本世俗智慧的演讲》》· Accounting and its limitations
Accounting Is Only an Approximation
But you have to know enough about it to understand its limitations—because although accounting is the starting place, it's only a crude approximation.
Accounting is the starting point of analysis, but only a crude approximation.
Investing · Cognition · Decision · Modern investor letters
Investing · 查理·芒格《《关于基本世俗智慧的演讲》》· Microeconomics: commodity businesses and competition
Competition in the Airline Business
Competition was so intense that, once it was unleashed by deregulation, it ravaged shareholder wealth in the airline business.
Intense competition in a commodity industry can destroy shareholder wealth.
Investing · Growth · Human nature · Modern investor letters
Investing · 本杰明·格雷厄姆《《聪明的投资者》》· Introduction
Defensive vs. Enterprising
The determining trait of the enterprising (or active, or aggressive) investor is his willingness to devote time and care to the selection of…
The enterprising investor is defined by the willingness to do the work of selection.
Investing · Character · Action · Modern investor letters
Investing · 本杰明·格雷厄姆《《聪明的投资者》》· Chapter 2, The Investor and Inflation
Inflation and Stock Prices
There is no close time connection between inflationary (or deflationary) conditions and the movement of common-stock earnings and prices.
Inflation does not move stock earnings and prices on a predictable timetable.
Investing · History · Cognition · Modern investor letters
Investing · 本杰明·格雷厄姆《《聪明的投资者》》· Chapter 8, The Investor and Market Fluctuations
Mr. Market
If you are a prudent investor or a sensible businessman, will you let Mr. Market’s daily communication determine your view of the value of a $1,000…
The market's daily quote should not determine your view of value.
Investing · Human nature · Decision · Modern investor letters
Investing · 本杰明·格雷厄姆《《聪明的投资者》》· Chapter 20, Margin of Safety as the Central Concept of Investment
Diversification and Margin of Safety
Diversification is an established tenet of conservative investment. By accepting it so universally, investors are really demonstrating their…
Diversification is the practical companion of the margin-of-safety principle.
Investing · Decision · Wealth · Modern investor letters