Howard Marks：The Most Important Thing, Excerpt 6

Ignoring cycles and extrapolating trends is one of the most dangerous things an investor can do. People often act as if companies that are doing well will do well forever, and investments that are outperforming will outperform forever, and vice versa. Instead, it’s the opposite that’s more likely to be true.

Source： https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2003-07-01-the-most-important-thing.pdf
Locator：Memo, excerpt 6 · Verified：2026-10-19 · Verification：Short excerpt

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