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伯克希尔 2011 年致股东信·摘录1
Your Board is equally enthusiastic about my successor as CEO, an individual to whom they have had a great deal of exposure and whose managerial and…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2011 年致股东信·摘录2
• Our major businesses did well last year. In fact, each of our five largest non-insurance companies – BNSF, Iscar, Lubrizol, Marmon Group and…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2011 年致股东信·摘录3
• In total, our entire string of operating companies spent $8.2 billion for property, plant and equipment in 2011, smashing our previous record by…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2011 年致股东信·摘录4
• Our insurance operations continued their delivery of costless capital that funds a myriad of other opportunities. This business produces “float” –…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2012 年致股东信·摘录1
But subpar it was. For the ninth time in 48 years, Berkshire’s percentage increase in book value was less than the S&P’s percentage gain (a…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2012 年致股东信·摘录2
One thing of which you can be certain: Whatever Berkshire’s results, my partner Charlie Munger, the company’s Vice Chairman, and I will not change…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2012 年致股东信·摘录3
Charlie and I believe the gain in Berkshire’s intrinsic value will over time likely surpass the S&P returns by a small margin. We’re confident of…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2012 年致股东信·摘录4
Our luck, however, changed early this year. In February, we agreed to buy 50% of a holding company that will own all of H. J. Heinz. The other half…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2013 年致股东信·摘录1
On the facing page, we show our long-standing performance measurement: The yearly change in Berkshire’s per-share book value versus the market…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2013 年致股东信·摘录2
As I’ve long told you, Berkshire’s intrinsic value far exceeds its book value. Moreover, the difference has widened considerably in recent years.…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2013 年致股东信·摘录3
Charlie Munger, Berkshire’s vice chairman and my partner, and I believe both Berkshire’s book value and intrinsic value will outperform the S&P in…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2013 年致股东信·摘录4
Over the stock market cycle between yearends 2007 and 2013, we overperformed the S&P. Through full cycles in future years, we expect to do that again…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2014 年致股东信·摘录1
During our tenure, we have consistently compared the yearly performance of the S&P 500 to the change in Berkshire’s per-share book value. We’ve…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2014 年致股东信·摘录2
Today, our emphasis has shifted in a major way to owning and operating large businesses. Many of these are worth far more than their cost-based…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2014 年致股东信·摘录3
With that in mind, we have added a new set of data – the historical record of Berkshire’s stock price – to the performance table on the facing page.…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2014 年致股东信·摘录4
It was a good year for Berkshire on all major fronts, except one. Here are the important developments: ‹ Our “Powerhouse Five” – a collection of…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2015 年致股东信·摘录1
By the early 1990s, however, our focus had changed to the outright ownership of businesses, a shift that diminished the relevance of balance-sheet…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2015 年致股东信·摘录2
Over time, this asymmetrical accounting treatment (with which we agree) necessarily widens the gap between intrinsic value and book value. Today, the…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2015 年致股东信·摘录3
The unrecorded increase in the value of our owned businesses explains why Berkshire’s aggregate market- value gain – tabulated on the facing page –…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2015 年致股东信·摘录4
Charlie Munger, Berkshire Vice Chairman and my partner, and I expect Berkshire’s normalized earning power to increase every year. (Actual…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2016 年致股东信·摘录1
By the early 1990s, however, our focus was changing to the outright ownership of businesses, a shift that materially diminished the relevance of…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2016 年致股东信·摘录2
We’ve experienced both outcomes: As is the case in marriage, business acquisitions often deliver surprises after the “I do’s.” I’ve made some dumb…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2016 年致股东信·摘录3
We have no quarrel with the asymmetrical accounting that applies here. But, over time, it necessarily widens the gap between Berkshire’s intrinsic…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2016 年致股东信·摘录4
Over time, stock prices gravitate toward intrinsic value. That’s what has happened at Berkshire, a fact explaining why the company’s 52-year…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2017 年致股东信·摘录1
Despite its recent acquisitions, HomeServices is on track to do only about 3% of the country’s home- brokerage business in 2018. That leaves 97% to…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2017 年致股东信·摘录2
We believe that the annual probability of a U.S. mega-catastrophe causing $400 billion or more of insured losses is about 2%. No one, of course,…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2017 年致股东信·摘录3
No company comes close to Berkshire in being financially prepared for a $400 billion mega-cat. Our share of such a loss might be $12 billion or so,…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2017 年致股东信·摘录4
Viewed as a group – and excluding investment income – our operations other than insurance delivered pre- tax income of $20 billion in 2017, an…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2018 年致股东信·摘录1
Berkshire earned $4.0 billion in 2018 utilizing generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The components of that figure are…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2018 年致股东信·摘录2
The accuracy of that prediction can be suggested by our quarterly results during 2018. In the first and fourth quarters, we reported GAAP losses of $…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2018 年致股东信·摘录3
Wide swings in our quarterly GAAP earnings will inevitably continue. That’s because our huge equity portfolio – valued at nearly $173 billion at…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2018 年致股东信·摘录4
Our advice? Focus on operating earnings, paying little attention to gains or losses of any variety. My saying that in no way diminishes the…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2019 年致股东信·摘录1
Berkshire earned $81.4 billion in 2019 according to generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The components of that…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2019 年致股东信·摘录2
The adoption of the rule by the accounting profession, in fact, was a monumental shift in its own thinking. Before 2018, GAAP insisted – with an…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2019 年致股东信·摘录3
Berkshire’s 2018 and 2019 years glaringly illustrate the argument we have with the new rule. In 2018, a down year for the stock market, our net…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2019 年致股东信·摘录4
Meanwhile, in what we might call the real world, as opposed to accounting-land, Berkshire’s equity holdings averaged about $200 billion during the…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2020 年致股东信·摘录1
Berkshire earned $42.5 billion in 2020 according to generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The four components of that…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2020 年致股东信·摘录2
Operating earnings are what count most, even during periods when they are not the largest item in our GAAP total. Our focus at Berkshire is both to…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2020 年致股东信·摘录3
The two GAAP components pertaining to capital gains or losses (whether realized or unrealized) fluctuate capriciously from year to year, reflecting…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2020 年致股东信·摘录4
As I’ve emphasized many times, Charlie and I view Berkshire’s holdings of marketable stocks – at yearend worth $281 billion – as a collection of…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2021 年致股东信·摘录1
Berkshire owns a wide variety of businesses, some in their entirety, some only in part. The second group largely consists of marketable common stocks…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2021 年致股东信·摘录2
Whatever our form of ownership, our goal is to have meaningful investments in businesses with both durable economic advantages and a first-class CEO.…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2021 年致股东信·摘录3
I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2021 年致股东信·摘录4
Early in 1965, things changed. Berkshire installed new management that redeployed available cash and steered essentially all earnings into a…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2022 年致股东信·摘录1
Charlie and I allocate your savings at Berkshire between two related forms of ownership. First, we invest in businesses that we control, usually…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2022 年致股东信·摘录2
Our goal in both forms of ownership is to make meaningful investments in businesses with both long-lasting favorable economic characteristics and…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2022 年致股东信·摘录3
One advantage of our publicly-traded segment is that – episodically – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. It’s…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2022 年致股东信·摘录4
Controlled businesses are a different breed. They sometimes command ridiculously higher prices than justified but are almost never available at…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2023 年致股东信·摘录1
In what I next relate, bear in mind that Charlie and his family did not have a dime invested in the small investing partnership that I was then…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2023 年致股东信·摘录2
Nevertheless, Charlie, in 1965, promptly advised me: “Warren, forget about ever buying another company like Berkshire. But now that you control…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2023 年致股东信·摘录3
************ Writers find it useful to picture the reader they seek, and often they are hoping to attract a mass audience. At Berkshire, we have a…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2023 年致股东信·摘录4
We, however, are left uncomfortable. At Berkshire, our view is that “earnings” should be a sensible concept that Bertie will find somewhat useful –…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2024 年致股东信·摘录1
Sometimes I’ve made mistakes in assessing the future economics of a business I’ve purchased for Berkshire – each a case of capital allocation gone…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2024 年致股东信·摘录2
Pete paused as his wife, daughter and I leaned forward. Then he surprised us: “Well, I looked at Berkshire’s proxy statement and I wouldn’t want to…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2024 年致股东信·摘录3
The four of us then went to dinner at Omaha’s Happy Hollow Club and lived happily ever after. During the next 19 years, Pete shot the lights out.…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
伯克希尔 2024 年致股东信·摘录4
But I’ve also had many pleasant surprises in both the potential of the business as well as the ability and fidelity of the manager. And our…
原文直读
投资 · 现代投资信
多元思维格栅
What is elementary, worldly wisdom? Well, the first rule is that you can't really know anything if you just remember isolated facts and try and bang…
什么是基本的世俗智慧?第一条规则是:如果你只记住孤立的事实并试图把它们硬背出来,你其实什么也不懂。如果事实不能挂在一张理论格栅上,你就没有以可用的形式掌握它们。
认知 · 学习 · 决策 · 现代投资信
能力圈的边界
And Warren and I don't feel like we have any great advantage in the high-tech sector. In fact, we feel like we're at a big disadvantage in trying…
沃伦和我并不觉得自己在高科技行业有什么巨大优势。事实上,在理解软件、计算机芯片之类技术发展的本质上,我们觉得自己处于很大劣势。所以我们倾向于避开这些东西,原因是我们在这些方面能力不足。
投资 · 决策 · 心性 · 现代投资信
安全边际
Confronted with a like challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, MARGIN OF SAFETY.
面对同样的挑战——把稳健投资的秘密浓缩成三个词——我们大胆提出这句箴言:安全边际。
投资 · 决策 · 财富 · 现代投资信
投票机与称重机
The stock market is a voting machine rather than a weighing machine. It responds to factual data not directly but only as they affect the decisions…
股票市场是一台投票机,而不是一台称重机。它对事实数据的反应不是直接的,而只是通过这些数据对买卖双方决策的影响来体现。
投资 · 认知 · 人性 · 现代投资信